re: Nate Silver's forecast

We only have 48 days left until Election Day. Help us make every one count -- pitch in $3 or more right now: DONATE Friend -- Nate Silver -- the statistician who correctly predicted the result of the 2012 election in all 50 states -- keeps a running, real-time forecast of this election. It's designed to answer one simple question: "who will win the presidency?" Here's how it looked on August 20th: And here's how it looked yesterday: In the span of just one month, Donald Trump turned a big deficit in the polls into a two-in-five chance of winning this election. Take a look at the "tipping point" states. We know we have to win these states, and they've also got some critical Senate and gubernatorial races. Three -- Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida -- have moved into Trump's column and the rest are a lighter shade of blue. If this trend continues, we risk going into the final weeks of this election with things looking more in Donald Trump's favor than in ours. You can help turn the tide right now. If you pitch in $3 or more, we can immediately put your donation to use on critical work like contacting undecided voters, getting supporters who are voting by mail to return their ballots, and getting ready for the first push to get people to the polls as states like Iowa and Wisconsin start voting. This could not be a more important moment. Will you step up today? If you've saved your payment information, your donation will go through immediately. QUICK DONATE: $3 QUICK DONATE: $10 QUICK DONATE: $25 QUICK DONATE: $50 QUICK DONATE: $100 Or donate another amount: https://my.democrats.org/Stop-Trump-Fund Thanks, Eric Eric Walker Deputy Communications Director Democratic National Committee

Paid for by Hillary Victory Fund, a joint fundraising committee authorized by Hillary for America, the Democratic National Committee and the State Democratic Parties in these states: AK, AR, CO, DE, FL, GA, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NC, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI, and WY. Contributions or gifts to Hillary Victory Fund are not tax deductible. This email was sent to pacquiaohatton.1234@blogger.com. If this isn't the best email address at which to reach you, update your contact information. Our email list is the best way we have of staying in regular contact with supporters like you across the country and letting you know about the work President Obama and other Democrats are doing. If you like staying in touch, but want to receive only the most important messages, click here. Click here to unsubscribe from our supporter list, but if you leave, it will be harder for you to stay involved in the organization that you've been such a critical part of. This organization is powered by you, and we'd love to hear your ideas. Send us any comments, criticisms, or feedback here, or just reply to this email! Thanks for supporting President Obama and Democrats.